The NOAA 2017 U.S. Winter Outlook (December through February):


Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across most of the northern United States, extending from the northern Rockies to the eastern Great Lakes, the Ohio Valley, in Hawaii and in western and northern Alaska.

Drier-than-normal conditions are most likely across the entire southern U.S.



Warmer-than-normal conditions are most likely across the southern two-thirds of the continental U.S., along the East Coast, across Hawaii and in western and northern Alaska.

Below-average temperatures are favored along the Northern Tier of the country from Minnesota to the Pacific Northwest and in southeastern Alaska.

The rest of the country falls into the “equal chance” category, which means they have an equal chance for above-, near-, or below-normal temperatures and/or precipitation because there is not a strong enough climate signal in these areas to shift the odds.


It looks likes in Northern California we are in the undecided zones of an equal chance of whatever comes our way,

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Reality Ville

Cartoon for Post

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More on La Niña Coming


Note that the forecast is for another dry winter, with the possibility of one in 2019, and La Niña can exist for 2-3 years, some have lasted much longer.  CA reservoirs are full, however, they may not be next year and the following year. Save water whenever possible.

Posted in California, Weather | 2 Comments

Rural Economy Technology Blog

Hello my six loyal Readers,

I have launched a new blog Rural Economy Technology to cover rural broadband issues and their relationship to rural economic development. Many families and business in the rural areas struggle to gain the same broadband access that their peers have in urban cities. This digital divide creates significant economic, education, and healthcare issues for rural families.

My blog will address these critical infrastructure issues, those that currently exist and some that are on the horizon, including the Trump Infrastructure Initiative which is reported to include funding for expanding rural broadband.

The RET blog will track all the issues, and I invite readers to comment on current and future broadband issues.  Please share the URL with friends, family and businesses owners who have broadband issues.  Thank You!

Posted in Broadband, California, Economics

La Niña Winter On the Way

Note: Headline corrected.

According to Joe Bastardi at Westherbell we are going to have an El Niño Winter Here is his snow forecast:

El Ninio Winter

Note that the southern half of California will be relatively dry, with the upper part near normal. Nevada County is in the dividing line, we could be normal or dry.

Here is the bigger picture of El Niño Winters from the West Without Water.The drought will return, save our water.

West With Out Water page 54

Posted in Drought, Local, Weather | 1 Comment

Eclipses and How Glaciers Get Started

Ellen Eclipse Watching

Ellen Steele with husband built ellipse viewer

Ellen and I went to Idaho to observe the Total Eclipse with some friends in a mountain valley across from Mt Bora, the highest peak in Idaho. On our way to the observation camp site, we observed snow glistening in north side cirques near the peak of the mountain. Waiting for the eclipse, we took a trip over the Trail Creek Pass to Sun Valley and saw more snow in the shaded cirques on the north facing slopes. Lots of snow for the end of August in Idaho. There is a good chance it will start snowing again before all the snow melts. New snow on old snow is how glaciers get started.

In the photo below you can see white patches of snow in Northern Nevada mountain cirques.



Again if there are some September snow storms, there will be new snow on old snow.

Snow Pic NV

Northern Nevada Snow Fields

All this potential glacier building is taking place during global warming, who knew that was possible? It is possible only if Idaho and Nevada have some early September snow storms. Stay Tuned.

Posted in Solar | 3 Comments

Putting the New York Times leaked US Climate Report in perspective.


Government Climate Scientists Attempting To Extort Money From President Trump

Posted in Analysis, Climate, Climate Change, Solar