I wrote this earlier this month:
Many Sierra foothill folks were hoping for a 2014 El Niño to help fill our water storage facilities and restore the states ground water. It does not look like it is going to happen, thus we need to address California’s on going drought.
Joe Bastardi has different point of view. He thinks we will have a modest El Niño, which could help fill our water collection systems, and reduce the threat of drought. As I said before, Stay Tuned.
Guest essay by Joe Bastardi
I am a bit surprised at some of the waffling in the meteorological community on the ENSO event ( then again, maybe it is I who will be surprised). Its evolving . I stated on our weatherbell.com site at the start of the month to get ready for the drop in the SOI that would allow the warmer sub surface water to come up and its like clockwork, its coming. Look at the SOI this month, and notice how over the last 15 days, alot of double digit negatives have shown up after a period that was basically a wash. I don’t know why there is all the hand wringing with this event.
The JAMSTEC el nino index has had this nailed from the get go. The REASON IT IS CALLED EL NINO is in many cases its effects mature late in the year, and…
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