The European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMRWF) is predicting a super El Niño, higher than ever recorded. However, Joe Bastardi in his WeatherBELL Weekly Summary, does not think that it will be an out of the ordinary El Niño, about the same as past El Niño events.
Joe did have some good news for California this winter. The NOAA models are forecasting above normal precipitation in Nov, Dec and Jan for the 2015/2016 winter months.
No, this will not fix our drought, because it is only a temporary condition. The El Niño will fade and the cool PDO will again control our weather. Cool PDOs have historically brought drought conditions to the Southwest, including California. However, the winter rain and some mountain snow will help fill our reservoirs, enabling us to muddle along for several more years, hoping that we have more El Niño events in the future. Water conservation for the next 20 years is going to be critical to our economic survival.