The SAC Bee is reporting:
El Niño? Yes. Gully-washing winter? Well, maybe — Meteorologists are seeing a connection to the big rains and floods in Texas. . .
The El Niño is getting stronger. NOAA is predicting a super El Niño, which could result in the development of an atmospheric river, often referred to newspapers and on TV as the Pineapple Express. This a general term for such narrow corridors of enhanced water vapor transport at mid-latitudes around the world.
These atmospheric rivers are often created by the Madden-Julian oscillation, an equatorial rainfall pattern which feeds its moisture into this jet stream pattern. These conditions are often present during a strong El Niño episode.
In the winter of 1861-62, an El Niño winter, an atmospheric river of moisture battered the West Coast for 45 days, flooding the Sacramento Valley. The historic details can be found HERE: HistorianNS5-4
Bottom line? We could go from drought to flooding and then right back to a drought again. The question is will be be prepared for a flood, given all the attention leaders are focusing on dealing with the drought?
Update: Drought followed the flood according the Historian:
The “Farmer’s” prediction of next year’s crops increasing was premature, for one of California’s worst droughts set in. “It began in the fall of 1862 and lasted to the winter of 1864-1865.”73 Crops failed and cattle now died of star· vation instead of drowning. The amount of rainfall in the valley for 1862 to 1864 was as follows: For the season of 1862-1863, the rainfall was 11.6 inches, and in 1863-1864, it was 7.8 inches. The seriousness of the drought is demonstrated by comparing the average seasonal rainfall of approximately twenty inches to these figures.