California Drought Report #59: Warm El Niño to be replaced by cold La Niña

The NOAA Earth Systems Research Laboratory experimental sea surface temperature (SST) forecast model is predicting the current El Niño will rapidly fade and be replaced by a strong La Niña. With a cool PDO and a strong winter La Niña we can expect the California Drought to return by next winter.

currentgl.map

The thing to remember, this is a model and may not represent the real world. Mother Nature will let us know real soon now if we are in for a strong La Niña.

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About Russ Steele

Freelance writer and climate change blogger. Russ spent twenty years in the Air Force as a navigator specializing in electronics warfare and digital systems. After his service he was employed for sixteen years as concept developer for TRW, an aerospace and automotive company, and then was CEO of a non-profit Internet provider for 18 months. Russ's articles have appeared in Comstock's Business, Capitol Journal, Trailer Life, Monitoring Times, and Idaho Magazine.
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2 Responses to California Drought Report #59: Warm El Niño to be replaced by cold La Niña

  1. Hifast says:

    Russ, great blog.
    NOAA timing agrees with Scripps. But NOAA has N-D-J centered well east of Scripps (about 30 degrees). Looking forward to seeing how this plays out.

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