Mother Nature Supports Trump Tariff War

“China’s Soybean Harvest Drops by 300,000 Tons Because of Early Frost … China will then buy U.S. soybeans, which begin harvesting in the fall.”

https://www.theepochtimes.com/chinas-soybean-harvest-drops-by-300000-tons-because-of-early-frost_2665703.html

Well, it appears that anthropogenic global warming did not save China from an early frost.

Looks like Aspen also got an early frost. Aspen Times:

“The first killing frost on this ranch came September 15, nearly two weeks earlier than the first killing frost in 1935. It only nipped the potato crop.

Another failure for anthropogenic global warming.

Did I mention we are in a solar minimum!  Early frost will be coming to the Mid-Atlantic according to Joe Bastardi in about 10 days. Stay Tuned

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Posted in Analysis, Weather | 2 Comments

Heartland Institute to Livestream Global Climate Action Summit Rebuttals

Via Press Release

Streams Countering Alarmism at Summit Begin Thursday, Sept. 13 at Noon Pacific Time, and Friday, Sept. 14 at 10:30 a.m. Pacific Time

The Heartland Institute will be live-streaming two panel discussions of scientists and climate policy experts from the office of the Independent Institute in Oakland, California during the Global Climate Action Summit this week in San Francisco.

Heartland will livestream two sessions from the Independent Institute conference center across the Bay in Oakland on Thursday, September 13 from 12:00 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. PT, and on Friday, September 14 from 10:30 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. PT.

You can watch the  live-stream at these links:

Posted in Analysis, Climate Change | 1 Comment

Alarmist Claim Rebuttal [Edited]

[Edited to fix bad links]

In the attached document is a series of rebuttals of the most common climate alarmists’ claims such as those made in the recently released Fourth National Climate Assessment Report.2 T

The authors of these rebuttals are all recognized experts in the relevant scientific fields. The rebuttals demonstrate the falsity of EPA’s claims merely by citing the most credible empirical data on the topic.

For each alarmist claim, a summary of the relevant rebuttal is provided along with a link to the full text of the rebuttal, which includes the names and the credentials of the authors of each rebuttal.

Link to Over View is HERE.

Claims rebutted include:

  • Claim: Heat Waves are increasing at an alarming rate and heat kills.
  • Claim: Global warming is causing more hurricanes and stronger hurricanes.
  • Claim: Global warming is causing more and stronger tornadoes.
  • Claim: Global warming is increasing the magnitude and frequency of droughts and floods.
  • Claim: Global Warming has increased U.S. Wildfires.
  • Claim: Global warming is causing snow to disappear.
  • Claim: Global warming is resulting in rising sea levels as seen in both tide gauge and satellite technology.
  • Claim: Arctic, Antarctic and Greenland ice loss is accelerating due to global warming.
  • Claim: Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations are causing ocean acidification, which is catastrophically harming marine life.
  • Claim: Carbon pollution is a health hazard.

Conclusion

The well-documented invalidation of the “three lines of evidence” upon which EPA attributes global warming to human-caused CO2 emissions breaks the causal link between such emissions and global warming.

This in turn necessarily breaks the causal chain between CO2 emissions and the alleged knock-on effects of global warmings, such as loss of Arctic ice, increased sea level, and increased heat waves, floods, droughts, hurricanes, tornadoes, etc. These alleged downstream effects are constantly cited to whip up alarm and create demands for ever tighter CO2 regulation. EPA explicitly relied on predicted increases in such events to justify the Endangerment Finding. But as shown above, there is no evidence to support such claims and copious empirical evidence that refutes them.

H/T to ICECAP for publishing this research.  Use these documents to refute the claims of global warmers co-workers, family, and friends.  They can also be used at political town hall meeting to inform political leaders and policymakers. I am sending copies of the rebuttal to my federal and state representatives.

Posted in Climate Change, Weather | 3 Comments

Princeton Physicist Dr. Will Happer Hired as Trump’s New Tech Adviser

CNN claim: “His [Happer’s] public stance on climate change is in opposition to near universally accepted science.”

Former Harvard Physicist Dr. Lubos Motl responds to CNN:

“Right. By their definition, this scam is nearly universally accepted as “science” by these scammers. If you’re an expert in the climate hysteria who is approved by other experts in the climate hysteria, you usually accept that the climate hysteria is rational. Otherwise you wouldn’t be an expert over the climate hysteria. Instead, the real question is whether a rational society should nurture and pay “experts” in the climate hysteria – “experts” in a discipline where the big answer is decided from the beginning and it’s a scientifically ludicrous one.
We also learn:

CNN: “Happer, who is not a climate expert, specialized in atomic physics and the study of optics at Princeton.”

Motl: “Is Happer a climate expert? How should we interpret the negative sentence above? You know, as some “climate experts” don’t know, the global warming is supposed to be caused by the greenhouse effect which is physically the absorption of the infrared radiation by the air. Is Happer an expert in that? Well, search

Google Scholar for “w happer” infrared

Unsurprisingly, he has written numerous articles that are “mainly” about the infrared absorption bands and Google Scholar finds over 1,000 articles that contain his name as well as “infrared”. So when it comes to the main physical effect that is supposed to drive “climate change”, he’s not only an expert. He’s one of the world’s leading experts. CNN and doomsaying crackpots in general surely find this fact inconvenient but this inconvenience doesn’t make it less true.”

Full Article is HERE

More AGW Skeptics in the White House cannot be all bad, except for the global warmer scare mongers. We will see some real science applied to greenhouse gas warming.

Posted in Analysis, Climate Change, Politics | 1 Comment

Is Climate Change Being Falsely Accused of Sparking California Conflagrations?

Western Farm Press

Blaming climate change for the recent California fires and the state’s water woes appear to be like the kid blaming his dog for eating his homework.

The reality of climate change isn’t the issue. The earth’s climate has warmed and cooled since the beginning of time. Mankind’s impact on climate change remains debatable and laced with hyperbole that does little to solve problems but much to perpetuate political agendas and poor public policy.

Not to be out done, President Trump jumped into the mix recently with a typical tweet that cast the blame on state officials for taking water that otherwise could be used to extinguish fires. While California and the feds seem to be in the business of banning human access to fresh water, that’s not the issue.

Decades ago a hue and cry went out across the U.S. that the timber industry was killing the Northern Spotted Owl, and to end this, logging had to stop. A major California newspaper did a series of stories on logging that used hyperbole and exaggerations, along with some very good photography, to sell this point and win a Pulitzer Prize.

Logging was stopped. Small towns crumbled, and forests became so overgrown that they began to die. Too many trees then competed for a finite amount of water that fell on the forests during the winter months. A northern California rancher once told me that streams and springs he knew as a child dried up because of this competition for water.

This forced deer and elk migrations to change and further changed natural patterns in the forest that exacerbated the problem. Voter-approved ESA-like protections given to the mountain lion didn’t help as the large predators decimate deer herds that once foraged on the forest. We’ve now introduced wolves that will further cause declines in deer and elk populations and force ranchers grazing their cattle on public lands to relocate them.

Stressed trees became fodder for the bark beetle that also killed vast forest vistas. The view from highways connecting places like Susanville and Red Bluff, or Chester and Quincy bear this out. Forest Service policies of squashing just about every lightning-sparked fire compounded the issue as fire has always been a natural part of the forest ecosystem. It is now virtually impossible to have a small, controllable fire anymore.

The consequences of decisions like these are legion, and expensive. Lives and property are lost and destroyed as millions of dollars in fire suppression costs, infrastructure repair and insurance claims are racked up annually because of mankind’s mismanagement of forests.

Public policy is not going to reverse heating and cooling cycles that moved the planet in and out of ice ages. We are likely at the apex of a warm cycle and, according to information I’ve heard, some scientists believe a cyclical change in sunspot patterns may soon move us into a period of cooling.

I think this answers the question. More analysis HERE.

Posted in California, Climate Change, Drought, Weather | 1 Comment

Climate Change and Forest Fire Fact Check

The Charge: Timothy White, California State University Chancellor

“Nearly everyone agrees that climate change is the biggest environmental challenge facing California and the world. Communities across California are experiencing firsthand the effects of devastating wildfires, persistent droughts, agricultural anomalies and public health crises because of our changing climate.

The Facts: Climatologist Dr. John Christy ‘Our most serious heatwaves were in the 1930’s. We have not matched those at all”

What about the fires and heat waves?

According to the National Interagency Fire Center, fires were burning in fifteen states as of Tuesday, August 14.

Alaska reported seventeen fires, Arizona reported eleven, both Oregon and Colorado reported ten, and California reported nine.

Much of the news media’s discussion about these fires over the past few weeks has established a correlation between the many fires and anthropogenic climate change, a correlation that Dr. Christy rejects.
Christy argues that exacerbating fires out west, particularly in California, results from human mismanagement. Such states have enacted strict management practices that disallow low-level fires from burning, he said.

“If you don’t let the low-intensity fires burn, that fuel builds up year after year,” Christy said. “Now once a fire gets going and it gets going enough, it has so much fuel that we can’t put it out.”

“In that sense, you could say that fires today are more intense, but it’s because of human management practices, not because mother nature has done something,” Christy said.

Data from the Fire Center indicates that the number of wildfires have been decreasing since the 1970s overall, though acreage burned has increased significantly.

As for the heat, Christy said there’s nothing abnormal going on in the United States.

“Heat waves have always happened,” he said. “Our most serious heatwaves were in the 1930’s. We have not matched those at all.”

Christy continued, “It is only a perception that is being built by the media that these are dramatic worst-ever heat wave kind of things but when we look at the numbers, and all science is numbers, we find that there were periods that were hotter, hotter for longer periods in the past, so it’s very hard to say that this was influenced by human effects when you go back before there could have been human effects and there’s the same or worse kind of events.”

Though Christy didn’t deny that the last three years have been the hottest ever recorded globally, he doesn’t concede that the changes are attributable to anything other than climate’s usual and historical erraticism.

More on heat waves, including in Nevada City HERE.

Posted in California, Climate Change, Local | 1 Comment

It was WARMER in Roman and Medieval times

If it was warmer in the past, what makes the current warming unusual? Past warming was not blamed on human CO2 emissions, why should they be blamed for the current warming? Interested in hearing your thoughts?

sunshine hours

Update: The article and paper are from 2012.

Global cooling: It is the first time that researchers have been able to accurately measure trends in global temperature over the last two millennia

A study suggests the Britain of 2,000 years ago experienced a lengthy period of hotter summers than today.

German researchers used data from tree rings – a key indicator of past climate – to claim the world has been on a ‘long-term cooling trend’ for two millennia until the global warming of the twentieth century.

This cooling was punctuated by a couple of warm spells.

These are the Medieval Warm Period, which is well known, but also a period during the toga-wearing Roman times when temperatures were apparently 1 deg C warmer than now.

They say the very warm period during the years 21 to 50AD has been underestimated by climate scientists.

Lead author Professor Dr Jan Esper of Johannes Gutenberg University in Mainz said: ‘We found that previous estimates of historical temperatures during the Roman era and the Middle Ages…

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Posted in Uncategorized